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  Ballmer To Partners: Don't Wait For Longhorn
Time: 09:30 EST/14:30 GMT | News Source: CRN | Posted By: Chris Hedlund

Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer says there is more-than-ample business opportunity in the pre-Longhorn era for partners to profit. He cited migrations from IBM Notes/Domino, SAP, Novell and Oracle products, as well as upgrading Windows NT 4.0 as huge green field. In a partner panel at its worldwide partner conference, one VAR stated concern that the bulk of migration work is done and wondered what opportunities could help partners bridge the gap between now and the much-anticipated Longhorn release, starting next year. "Over the last three or four years

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#1 By 9589 (65.191.188.246) at 7/11/2005 11:16:01 AM
Yeah, if you think Ballmer has problems, what about Jobs? He' s got computers that no one will want in 18 months. Yet, Wall Street is rewarding his company with a 42 P/E. That is twice that of Microsoft. Go figure!

#2 By 1896 (68.153.171.248) at 7/11/2005 12:42:15 PM
Actually a lower P/E is not a bad sign at all/. The P/E indicates the ratio of a company's share price to its per-share earnings. For instance, a P/E ratio of 10 means that the company has $1 of annual, per-share earnings for every $10 in share price. While it is impossible to generalize but I would say that a good way to evaluate a company P/E is to compare it with the company growth rate; if the ratio is much higher, then the stock price is high compared to history. Again it would be wrong to generalize because there are many factors involved in the analysis of a company shares price: to give you an example internet service providers usually have a higher P/E than retail companies and still coul be a good investment.

#3 By 9589 (65.191.188.246) at 7/11/2005 1:20:52 PM
The point is that Apple's P/E is way to generous given the past record of the company and its prospects for the future. This is particulary true when you realize that when Apple changes over to Intel CPUs, every users' software that now runs on OS X will only run in emulation mode on a Mac Intel CPU based computer. (Anyone remember the last time this happened? It was when OS X was first released. It came with OS 9. If you had software that ran on this version, you had to boot to OS 9 to run it!)

Talk about giving Jobs a free ride. If Microsoft had pulled the above stunt, not once but now twice, the tech press would have screamed at that the top of their lungs foul.

Meanwhile, what are the prospects that sales of Macs up until the change over will be dismall at best? I think better than even. Meanwhile, iPod sales have peaked. This stock is a great short candidate.

By the way, because some of our customers (less than 5%) use Macs to get our sites, we had to purchase an Apple. We test our web code on it to ensure compatibility. We chose an iMac G5 with a 17" LCD screen running Panther. What a dog!!! Additionally, besides only having a one button mouse, the screen is 2/3 the size of a normal 17" LCD screen. While as wide as a normal screen, it is only 2/3 as long. Everything on the screen is scrunched. Since this model has everything built around the screen, I guess they had to make room for the computer guts, but what a rip off. Oh! It cost exactly twice the amount we pay Dell for their Optiplex GX280s and a 17" LCD screen.

#4 By 1896 (68.153.171.248) at 7/11/2005 5:10:19 PM
I agree with you; the bulk of Apple profits comes from hardware sales not software. It wil be interesting to see what the price of their Intel based systems will be. No matter how nice the OS will be hopefully people will begin comparing the price of an Apple/Intel box with a Dell/Intel one for instance; also in 2006 Longhorn will be out so...
Personally I keep buying MS shares; as you pointed out they are under-evaluated.

#5 By 3653 (68.52.165.46) at 7/11/2005 9:44:03 PM
jdhawk... SHORT the aapl stock. I've done it twice this calendar year... making over 30% each time. When it goes to 39, I sell it short, and buy when it gets near 35. IMO, It cant help but fall to 30 someday soon.

This post was edited by mooresa56 on Monday, July 11, 2005 at 21:44.

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