It's that time of year. LEDs flash with holiday cheer, and pundits pontificate about what will happen in the coming months. So once again, it's time for me to offer my predictions for the new year.
1. Longhorn is no longer the answer (or even the question). There was too much Longhorn hype in the past year and not enough details. Look for Microsoft to retreat from the "It will be fixed/added in Longhorn" mantra and make more attempts to keep the focus on Windows XP.
2. PDAs will become passe. Disconnected ones, that is. Over time, the real action will be moving core PDA functionality, centered on personal information management, to other devices such as cell phones. This will cause major IT headaches, since few cell phones are controlled by IT these days.
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