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  Linux's new popularity may hurt Apple more than Microsoft.
Time: 00:00 EST/05:00 GMT | News Source: E-Mail | Posted By: Todd Richardson

In the latest of his legendary keynote stage shows, Steve Jobs kicked off Apple's Worldwide Developers Conference this morning in San Francisco by showing off the company's speedy new aluminum G5 desktop Mac. But while listing the new machine's impressive specs, Jobs left out a related, eye-popping statistic: Business Week columnist Alex Salkever dropped the bomb last week that next year, "Linux should pass Apple in market share for desktop operating systems on computers."

Say what? A few calls to industry analysts confirmed that they've come to the same conclusion as Salkever: Steve's new babies have been born into third place behind both Windows and Linux, which had been dubbed a desktop flop just two years ago.

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#1 By 11888 (64.230.64.158) at 6/24/2003 12:29:35 AM
Somehow I can't see myself abandoning OS X for any flavour of Linux. I keep trying different distros waiting for one that I like, but some is always wrong.

"Why is there no sound?"
"Where does it keep my files?"
"How do I install this and where is it installing it?"
"I thought I changed the resolution, why is back to 800x600?"
"Recompile the what now to get wireless to work?"
"it says that driver version 1.3 is installed but the application wants 1.4 so it might not work. . .how do I fix that? And how did it end up screwed up in the first place?"
"KDE or GNOME? How do I pick? And what if I change my mind?"

I switched over three years ago now and I'm having a blast with my Macs. I never have questions like I do with Linux.

At least with OS X and WinXP you pop the CD out of the box, let the installer run, boot up the machine and you're doing stuff.

$248?! Who cares? If everything I bought was cheap I think I'd hate to come home at night. Although lots of cheap stuff could give my place a retro 1970's feel. . .

#2 By 135 (208.50.204.91) at 6/24/2003 1:41:20 AM
I seriously don't see how Apple has anything to fear here.

JaggedFlame - In statistics the goal is to either get a large enough sample, or to select a sample which is random enough to not introduce some form of bias. I think stats from google.com users would be a large enough representation of internet users that it would be difficult to introduce a bias to the numbers.

google is pretty universal these days, everybody is using it and it's not like it's hardcoded into many browsers like say the MSN search engine.

This post was edited by sodablue on Tuesday, June 24, 2003 at 01:46.

#3 By 5912 (62.192.124.170) at 6/24/2003 2:54:56 AM
I seriously doubt wether these 'Google-statistics' have any real meaning. I think that quite a number of desktops in offices still have no access to the internet (especially outside the US).

This post was edited by rnmboon on Tuesday, June 24, 2003 at 02:57.

#4 By 11888 (64.230.72.225) at 6/24/2003 7:41:30 AM
The other problem with Google stats is they only represent what the browser reported to them. Does anyone know for sure that Safari, Mozilla, etc aren't reporting themselves as IE 6 on Windows 2000 or something like that?

#5 By 135 (209.180.28.6) at 6/24/2003 9:52:19 AM
Remember! Two wrongs may not make a right, but three lefts do!

#6 By 9589 (66.57.63.97) at 6/24/2003 10:13:42 AM
Does it ever stop? Another, why don't you have Linux - its the coming thing - article! Yeah, right. The Business Week guy writes a story giving no hard facts and the next guy quotes said article as if it was proof positive. Typical Linux nonsense.

By the way, if cheap is what you want - try eMachines. At $399 you get a decent computer with the superb Windows XP Home edition and a lot more (the WalMart Linux box is a whole lot slower and doesn't come with a monitor - Oh, you want a modem and diskette drive - sorry, not included either! LOL). Plus, if you buy eMachines 17" monitor, they knock off a hundred bucks for it. The total with a 17" monitor is $499. Dell has a similiarly priced computer with 17" monitor. Go with Gateway and for another hundred bucks you get twice the memory and a CD-R/RW with the package.

Oh, this is cute (from Wal-Mart's web site): "Linux operating systems may not be compatible with some dial-up Internet services, such as AOL or Wal-Mart Connect. Microtel can only guarantee Linux-based OS compatibility with factory-installed components. " So, in another words, if your a dial-up kind of person, and you purchase a modem card it may or not work and forget about calling Microtel for help! And, to top it off, your "new" system won't even connect with Wal-Mart's own brand of dial-up Internet service#@E!@#! LOL

Yeah, Linux is going to overtake what, who, when? Stop it!!! I am trying to work here, but laughing so hard I am not getting anything done!

#7 By 2332 (216.41.45.78) at 6/24/2003 11:24:01 AM
Wow, talk about not having any clue regarding computer users.

Typically, it's the more "advanced" computer users that move to Linux. By "advanced", I only mean those with more time to spend on learning the in's and out's of an OS, or those that want to be l33t and use alternative OS's.

While many Linux users have a soft spot in their hearts for Apple, especially OS X, it rarely goes the other way. Apple users are generally enamered with Jobs and the whole Apple culture. While I'm sure many of them love Linux because it's not Microsoft, I seriously doubt many of them would ever adopt it over their treasured OS X.

In general, the migration order is as follows:

Apple -> Windows -> Linux/Unix/ABM

As you can see, the skill required (in general) to operate the OS gets larger as you move from left to right, although I would argue that it's almost equal in terms of skill required for WinXP and OS X.

Now, that first jump is very rare... again, because of the anti-reality field set up by Apple. The second jump is certainly less rare, but in terms of shear numbers, it's insignificant. A jump directly from Apple to Linux must be almost unheard of.

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