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  Is There Any Reason To Buy Microsoft Anymore?
Time: 00:00 EST/05:00 GMT | News Source: NewsFactor | Posted By: Todd Richardson

The development and growth of the Linux operating system has brought a new question to the lips of IT managers: Why should I buy Microsoft? Five years ago, the answer would have been easy. With the dominant development tools, client operating system and client applications, Microsoft owned a certain portion of the enterprise.

But now that the Linux OS is rapidly maturing and companies are looking to shrink IT budgets, the choice is not so easy. Almost everything enterprises once found unique to Microsoft they can now find somewhere else -- without some of the baggage that comes with Microsoft purchases, like ongoing security concerns and mystifying licensing practices. Enterprises finally have a real choice, and that spells big problems for Microsoft.

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#1 By 2332 (65.221.182.2) at 5/12/2003 11:21:00 PM
Perhaps you should ask companies like JetBlue, Dell, NASDAQ, the London Stock Exchange, and many others that have saved millions of dollars by standardizing their enterprise on Microsoft software.

"25 percent of them were already in the process of replacing Windows servers with Linux"

In a word... bullsh*t. That number is FAR higher than ANYTHING I've ever seen reported before. By most accounts, Linux growth has all but stalled... and in the few places it's gaining ground it's taking market share not from Microsoft, but from Sun.

"Linux is going to take over all those applications where Unix (news - web sites) is already strong"

Well, duuu.

"Linux scales as well as Windows does and has much better clustering capabilities"

Huh? By whose account? Where, exactly, is Linux on the TPC list? And how, exactly, is Linux better at clustering than Windows?

We've heard all of this stuff before... and nothing has come of it yet. Time, of course, will tell... and I'm putting my bet on MS, thank you.



This post was edited by RMD on Monday, May 12, 2003 at 23:21.

#2 By 8589 (67.65.84.24) at 5/12/2003 11:34:34 PM
This story goes right next to "Boy raised by pig, grows snoot and curly tail."

#3 By 7390 (209.247.61.226) at 5/12/2003 11:59:15 PM
Are you saying that the boy wasn't?

#4 By 3465 (68.50.165.209) at 5/13/2003 1:11:12 AM
Thanks for the story ActiveSource....

#5 By 61 (65.32.171.144) at 5/13/2003 10:45:12 AM
TIM:

Well, I'm waiting for some sort of proof that he is wrong... dont have any? Didn't think so.

#6 By 135 (209.180.28.6) at 5/13/2003 10:45:27 AM
phillyTIM - Actually I think what RMD is saying is that the Linux zealots sound like the Iraqi Information Minister.

"Microsoft is doomed! Their armies are beaten against the walls."

"Linux will dominate! Our army grows in strength daily!"

RMD is just asking for proof behind some of the ridiculous claims, like 25% growth, better clustering and so forth.

#7 By 2332 (216.41.45.78) at 5/13/2003 12:59:05 PM
Really, nobody should assume what I (or anybody else) says is correct until proven otherwise. I should provide evidence for my claims just as I demand others do. So I will.

"By year's end [2002], Linux installations will capture 32% of the Intel server market, up from 27% last year"
http://www.informationweek.com/story/IWK20020207S0018

So, we have Linux with a 5% market share increase overall.

Assuming Microsoft gained NO MARKET SHARE in 2002, they that would leave them steady at 49%. (See: http://news.com.com/2100-1001-959049.html).

This means that in order for Linux to be grabbing 25% of Microsoft's server market share, they would need to have grown at least 12.25% in overall market share, and 100% of that gain would have had to come at the expense of Windows. That's almost 2.5x their best advertised growth rate. (.25 *.49 = .1225, .1225 > .05)

Again, that's assuming that Microsoft didn't grow at ALL during 2002, which is absurd since they grew 7% in 2001.

In addition, that same news.com article states that "market share for the Linux operating system was constant between 2000 and 2001, at 25 percent." Hmm... so what's the reason given for the sudden jump in Linux market share between 2001 and 2002? Could it be an over estimate?

Even if it's not, these numbers just don't fly. I have a feeling the sample size for "25% survey" was far too low... or, even more likely, wasn't even really a survey... it was just anecdotal.

This post was edited by RMD on Tuesday, May 13, 2003 at 13:01.

#8 By 2332 (65.221.182.2) at 5/13/2003 8:44:39 PM
Lovely how both Doggin and ABM ignore my evidence in favor of one liners.

Have fun guys. I'm interested in the truth... feel free to join in productive conversation when your goal is the same.

#9 By 2960 (156.80.64.196) at 5/14/2003 8:59:44 AM
I don't know about Linux, but MacOS X certainly has everything necessary to replace Windows (yes, including the Apps).

The reasons WHY this doesn't happen are already well known and have been beaten to death though.

TL

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