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  The rise and fall of the Wintel empire
Time: 08:57 EST/13:57 GMT | News Source: ZDNet | Posted By: Brian Kvalheim

That's how one analyst explained the recurring product delays at Microsoft, and the principle can describe similar problems at chip giant Intel. Instead of waking up sick and washed out, employees at these companies are seemingly dawdling a bit because of past successes and a hazy outlook. You can imagine the scene: You're a product manager for Windows. You wake up one day and hear analysts and competitors saying that Linux will begin to creep onto desktops. At the same time, the Linux desktop may not happen for several years. Your financial outlook is better than you ever expected back in college. At the same time, you also see few great opportunities for rapid internal advancement or lateral placement.

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#1 By 9589 (68.17.52.2) at 8/5/2004 1:27:24 PM
Critic of Edward Gibbon's "The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire = so-so
Critic of Wintel = crap

#2 By 3653 (63.162.177.143) at 8/5/2004 3:30:45 PM
Wasn't this also published back when Apple was gonna kill them... or Netscape... or AOL... or Java...

"david kills goliath" is such a compelling story-line, that authors simply can't think of any other angle. Sad.

#3 By 10022 (24.169.21.19) at 8/5/2004 8:28:33 PM
people are just pissed because if MS actually takes their time now and delivers quality prodcuts then there wont be aything to bitch about when they do ship.

At this point in time, I would rather stay with a product like Windows because they have already gone through the idiot proofing proccess. Compared to this, security should be easy!

Linux has a lot to do on the idiot proofing side of things and while they do this you will see how fragile their security really is-- it all depends on having a competent user!!!

Linux desktop is wishfull thinking. Even with Longhorn shipping in 2006 (and I really doubt it will be past this- even if it has to be slimmed down even more to make it happen) Linux is at least a few years away from a challenge to XP SP2

OS X is crap and is irrelevent.

#4 By 23275 (68.17.42.38) at 8/6/2004 1:27:33 AM
Gawd what rubbish.

Neither of these two industry leaders is in decline. No more than people are in general.

Is OSS on the increase? Sure. In direct correlation to the declined use of various commerical Unices.

Are more and more W2K3 IIS Servers being deployed? Yes and steadily as more and more developers move to .NET and the very powerful tools available to them.

I don't think that OSS will supplant MS, or any other commercial house.

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